NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread Ste

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For some reason I just can't string together a big week against the spread; 3-2 or 2-3 is the norm for these best bets, with one game flipping late and costing me a shot at 4-1 or 5-0 (COUGH , COUGH). Fortunately there are five more weeks to do that and make you guys some cash.This week we've got a couple huge favorites, which goes against my strategy for stretches of this season, but that's  Anthony Deangelo Men Jersey fine. I think we have some real separation between teams and I believe you need to back good teams who are capable of putting up big digits even when the spread is enormous. More on the NFL I'm a little wary of home dogs this week after seeing the take care of busine s against the ; it's a reminder not to just a sume blindly that a "better" team is going to head out on the road and cruise to a victory. Doesn't always work that way in the NFL, although head space certainly matters in the final five weeks of the season. Just because these guys are profe sionals doesn't mean they're not susceptible to human emotions.If you want to hear picks for every game against the spread, -- our daily NFL pod -- with tons of nuggets from every single game (you can also listen to me, Pete Prisco and R.J. White break down the games in the player below). Hit me with your and let's get hot.   (-9.5) vs. This is a "smell blood" game for the Seahawks, who are returning home for a stretch of games at CenturyLink Field over their final five contests, knowing they just beat the on the road to secure a head-to-head tiebreaker with their biggest wild-card competition and eyeing three games against division foes (home against SF, road against SF, home against ARZ) where they can really make some hay. It starts in this game, which has a " goes bananas" feel to it. The Seahawks are huge favorites, but it's not a spot they haven't covered before: Seattle is 10-6 in December home games against the spread since Wilson arrived. Three of those games where they failed to cover were against Bruce Arians' team; during his tenure there. The Seahawks are 7-2 against the spread as touchdown or more favorites at home in December when you take the Arians games out. They're 7-4 if you leave them in -- and they lost to Arians straight up the last two years. This is ' second career road start and this is a MUCH le s friendly spot than Tampa Bay. I think Seattle will want to send a statement .  (-14.5) at This Eddie Giacomin Men Jersey  is a preposterous line and I don't care. Andy Reid is now 16-3 against the spread off the bye in his career as a head coach and the Chiefs are not exactly comfortable in terms of the No. 1 overall seed. The , , and are all nipping at their heels, with Los Angeles playing on Sunday night in Pittsburgh. Also, don't sleep on and the Saints losing Thursday as a motivating factor to  Wayne Gretzky Jersey get a few extra deep throws and give him a chance at regaining the lead int he MVP race. Reid isn't a "run up the score" type of coach, but he's not afraid to keep scoring because he knows his defense isn't really capable of stopping anyone, even the Raiders. We've seen Oakland pack it up/pack it in ( ) when things go south and if the Chiefs are up 35-0 at half, I'll feel reasonably comfortable about covering this spread.  What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 13? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? . (+5.5) at TexansThis is the first big test for and and the crew of Browns players who are leading the youth movement in Cleveland during this glorious post-Hue Jackson revolution. Defensively they haven't had to play anyone quite like the Texans: the Chiefs, and were Cleveland's last three matchups. Not exactly stout defenses. But Baker's been a pain in the rear as a road dog this year, with the Browns coming close to upsetting the Saints, and while beating Oakland and Cincinnati. Houston's on a short week, will be coming off the emotion of a divisional matchup against the in a game where they were honoring their late owner and I think Mayfield will get up for a game against , who is often tied to the Browns because Cleveland pa sed on him twice in the 2017 NFL Draft. Cleveland's pa s rush is a bad matchup for the Texans offensive line. Bottom line is I just think the Browns are a good team that will make a run at the playoffs, even if it's a long shot. And it starts this week.Steelers (-3.5) vs.  Fredrik Claesson Men Jersey ChargersThis line is begging people to take the Chargers, and I wouldn't blame anyone who wanted to back in this spot. He's coming off one of the best games of his CAREER, Los Angeles is rolling at 8-3 and all but secured a wild card spot. They have a greater than 90 percent chance of making the postseason as it stands right now. But this game reeks like the Steelers matchup against the Panthers earlier this year: dangerous, trendy team coming to town in prime time after the Steelers had lost, catching too many points and people starting to question a bit. I  and I'm huge on the Steelers now. Big Ben has ma sive home/road splits that favor his performance at Heinz Field, the Steelers know what this game means for seeding in the AFC and as a short-ish home favorite in prime time under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers have been great about covering when the other team isn't Baltimore (5-0 since 2012, 0-2 against the spread versus the Ravens in those spots).  Ravens (+1) at FalconsWith the Falcons unable to slow down pa s-catching running backs, we will look back on this and say THIS WAS THE GAME. (Seriously though don't be afraid to trot him out in DFS.) I think we could actually look back at this and see some real similarities with and Michael Vick; they're obviously comparable players and Vick dominated in Atlanta -- albeit in a different stadium -- for years before he had to head behind bars for a little while. Jackson and and Montgomery will make life difficult for a depleted Falcons defense that doesn't have the bodies or the discipline to slow down the Ravens attack when they unleash some read option stuff. I wouldn't be surprised if Atlanta is able to move the ball here -- the over/under is fairly high at 48 -- but I would be surprised if they can score at will against Baltimore. Bottle up the Falcons a few times in the red zone (a la the Saints last week), unleash Jackson  Kevin Shattenkirk Men Jersey and the Ravens can come away from this game 7-5 and in control of their wild card destiny.